Challenge Pass Planner
Estimate how many trades — and trading days — your statistics need on average to reach a challenge profit target. This is an expectation: real outcomes vary around it, and a positive edge is required for the target to be reachable at all.
Results
How it works
Frequently asked questions
How many trades does it take to pass a prop firm challenge?
On average: profit target divided by your per-trade expectancy. Risking 1% per trade with a 45% win rate at 2R yields 0.35% per trade, so an 8% target needs about 23 trades on average. Variance around that average is large — plan for more.
What if my expectancy is negative?
Then no amount of trades reaches the target on average — more trading loses more. The planner flags this and shows the breakeven win rate for your reward-to-risk ratio: 1 ÷ (1 + R). At 2R you need to win more than 33.3% of trades just to break even.
Does this guarantee I pass in that many trades?
No. These are averages of a random process — two traders with identical stats will pass at different speeds, and losing streaks can hit the drawdown limit before the target. Use it with the Risk of Ruin and Losing Streak calculators to see the full picture.
Related tools
Free educational calculator. Not financial advice. Rules differ by firm — always verify exact values on your firm’s official site.